Euro Model Tucks Hermine Westward

Euro Model Tucks Hermine Westward

WEATHER VIDEO FROM THIS AFTERNOON ON GFS & NAM MODEL

Euro Model Tucks Hermine Westward

Tropical Storm Conditions New Jersey Long Island Coastalines

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Hermine is marching along to the north northeast and it is moving into South Carolina. Top winds are 50 mph. What I noticed on the loops last night as that the track is a little further inland and that continues. This is important as models have adjusted all to the left and the European does the same. It loops the cyclone westward toward Cape May and Delaware Bay which brings the arc of strong wind and heavy rains northwestward and further northwest than prior model runs.

euro24 Euro Model euro48 Euro Model

It is from Sunday morning 8am to Monday morning 8am that the European moves this west northwest to Delaware Bay before arriving to its 72 hours position. I drew in the track from Sunday morning to Monday morning in black. We cannot show the in between map.

euro72 Euro Model

If this is correct it would mean 50 mph winds up and down the New Jersey coast as well as the south shore of Long Island. This also opens the door for a very serious coastal flooding and beach erosion. For Long Island’s south shore the wind will be more east southeast which also makes coastal flooding a more serious issue.

We will continue to follow the progress of the models and Tropical Storm Hermine with more updates later this afternoon and evening. The European model certainly opens the door to a more serious situation developing.

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