Winter Weather Advisory Long Island Except Southeast Suffolk Saturday
The National Weather Service has thrown up a Winter Weather Advisory for Long Island Saturday with the exception for Southeast Suffolk County which per their snow forecast falls under the criteria for an advisory at this time (at least 2 inches). Below is the National Weather Service snow forecast for Long Island for Saturday.
While the recent model runs suggest a colder and slightly more robust outcome to the system for Saturday and remain skeptical. I’m keeping my amounts down putting me about 50% below what the Weather Service is forecasting, meaning that the range will be in the 1 to 2 inch category. I’m reluctant to go higher.
My doubts center around the warm front coming in from Pennsylvania. Yes there will be a band of snow ahead of it but I would like to see a far better look than what some of the models have been showing the last few days and better than what they are showing this Friday afternoon.
There are no weather issues tonight into Saturday morning other than it will be cold and clear tonight with diminishing winds and most lows in the mid to upper teens. Then we cloud up fast on Saturday. Snow arrives in Western Long Island around 1-2pm and in Suffolk an hour or so later. It changes to rain around 7pm or so. It will be a matter of how much precipitation does it produce in between. Most models generate between a tenth and two tenths of liquid..some are a little higher. I think I’m going to let the radar prove it to me tomorrow morning and go from there. It ends as rain between 7 and 10pm Saturday with leftover clouds to follow. Temperatures Saturday will hold in the 20s until later in the day and then rise above freezing into the 30s tomorrow night. Sunday will be dry with clouds and some sun with temperatures in the upper 30s to near 40 before it turns colder for the first part of next week.