White Christmas Odds Increasing Christmas Eve Night Into Christmas Day
White Christmas Odds Increasing Christmas Eve Night Into Christmas Day
Judging by the latest model runs it appears that the odds of a White Christmas for our area are increasing and there is still time for models to maneuver westward a bit since that has been the trend for the last 6 to 8 weeks and was the trend with the three systems last week. This in a way is like the system from last Friday which developed basically in our back yard. The difference here is that there is a bit more energy to play with as the upper trough swings around and the developing is starting out a bit further to west as the trough swings and lifts northeastward.
GFS FORECAST SUNDAY CHRISTMAS EVE INTO CHRISTMAS DAY CLICK TO ANIMATE
The GFS model is coming into line with the other models from overnight and yesterday with this idea and that is no surprise since it loves to flatten things out to the east and overwhelm cold air. The Canadian has a similar idea today as well. I think based on what I am seeing at the moment areas from Route 78 in New Jersey to NYC & Long Island have a shot at seeing a coating to a couple of inches from this while areas along and north of Route 80 to along and north of 287 in Westchester County and in Connecticut north of Route 15 stand a good chance of seeing perhaps several inches of snow or even a bit more depending on development. We will wait for the European and a few other models to verify this. Last night’s European model produce 1 to 3 inches of snow for areas just inland of the coast in the Hudson Valley, NW New Jersey and much of Connecticut. Along and north of Route 84 it showed 3 to 6 inches from New Jersey to Southeast NY to Connecticut. We will also put out a first call snow map later today.
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