weather models

Weather Models Pattern Change Remains On Course

Weather Models Pattern Change Remains On Course

trademark

Weather Models Pattern Change Remains On Course

Weather models overnight and today show very little change in the outlook going forward. This week remains a thaw week with a bit of an exception developing (somewhat) going into this weekend. Long range signals continue point to a colder pattern and possibly a stormier pattern though that part of the equation that is always a dicey proposition.

weather models

There are 3 important developments to pay attention to. The first is the fact that the North Atlantic Oscillation is going negative which means blocking is going to develop this week in the North Atlantic. This is going to probably keep things from getting out of hand on the warm side. In fact the onshore flow that sets up late this week could keep things raw and chilly next weekend but we will deal with that in the short range. The East Pacific Oscillation will go from off the wall positive to negative beginning on January 25th ish. This strongly favors the return of a colder pattern across North America. Finally the Pacific North America pattern goes positive which means a ridge in the west and that could favor storminess in the East.

WEATHER MODELS EUROPEAN JANUARY 19-25 2016

CLICK TO ANIMATE

weather models

The European today I believe has the best idea going forward though the models all seem to be on the same page to some degree. I do believe the warm up gets tempered by the onshore flow that sets up beginning on Friday and lasting through next weekend.

weather models

In the meantime there will be chances for rain this week beginning Tuesday and then again over next weekend and early next week. The European keys on a major storm developing and heading to the lower Great Lakes. That storm will be the catylist going forward.

WEATHER MODELS GFS JANUARY 28-31 2017

weather models

The upper air pattern on the GFS becomes “colder” for late month. I put that in quotation marks because it may take time for cold air to build up. The question of whether this is going to be a temporary flip or one that lasts a few weeks remains. The question of how stormy the pattern will be going forward is also going to stay unanswered though with the active Pacific jet, I think there will be opportunities.

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

          

SNOW REMOVAL COMPANIES FOR YOUR WINTER NEEDS

             LONG ISLAND                                ROCKLAND COUNTY                   Connecticut

http://www.fragalalandscape.com/https://greenworldh2o.com/

http://cuttingedgelawnct.com/

     ROCKLAND COUNTY                         TRI STATE SNOW REMOVAL                           JOHNSTOWN PA

edge-landscape

colosimo

 

 

 

 

 

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

JOIN JOESTRADAMUS ON YOUTUBE!

LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE

LONG ISLAND WEATHER

NEW YORK WEATHER

 

Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!

 

storm free

googleplay