Weather Models Moving Toward Colder Pattern
Weather Models Moving Toward Colder Pattern
Overnight weather models continue the trends that have been slowly appearing during the last few days in showing a colder pattern developing later next week. The European weather model has been particularly bullish on this idea. There is stronger support today coming from ensembles and other models but it is not roaring bullish by any means, at least not yet. There will be a question of whether the cold air holds for awhile. The European and GFS weather models seem to lean in this direction. Others or more transitory. Whether it is or isn’t will depend on. As of this posting I don’t have the new NAO/AO (North Atlantic/ Arctic Oscillation) forecasts but I’m assuming that based on the European weather model and other weather models that at the very least they are both trending colder for the Eastern United States.
All weather models show the the first shot of colder air arriving later next week. The European and the Canadian however do something that the GFS does not do and that it is they both either show or at least suggest that there is a second shot right behind it.
The gfs has a colder look but it seems to take longer to bring down a second shot of cold air as the first shot pulls out. It has it still well up into Canada.
There are a couple of important model differences which I believe are key. The first is that the European shows much stronger ridging building off the Pacific Northwest Coast. This favors the colder look of the European. On the other hand the GFS has a stronger upper high building on the Atlantic side which favors the cold to a lesser degree but has perhaps a blockier look potential down the road. For snow and winter weather lovers you hope to get both! Meanwhile the ensembles seem to getting a little less insistent on the trough in the west idea (I’m not a fan of ensembles). Let’s see where this goes today. As for storminess I would suggest that it is better in my view to see the long range show less on this end and have it come into focus better inside 7 days. I don’t take much value in storms shown beyond the 7 day time frame and neither should you.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
SNOW REMOVAL COMPANIES FOR YOUR WINTER NEEDS
LONG ISLAND ROCKLAND COUNTY Connecticut
JOHNSTOWN PA
COLOSIMO LAWNCARE
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey
FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS
LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE
Weather App
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!
