weather models

Weather Models Blocked Up Long Range

Weather Models Blocked Up Long Range

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Weather Models Blocked Up Long Range

Get ready for everything to stop moving in the atmosphere for a while. High pressure both at the surface and aloft has begun building over Greenland and before this is all done, it will bring the atmospheric flow that normally goes from west to east to a grinding halt. The saying high over low means everything moves slow will certainly hold up here. In fact it may not move at all for a few days next week!

WEATHER MODELS SHOW BLOCKING BEGINS FRIDAY ON GFS MODEL

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The upper air jet stream pattern is a sea of extremes. We have a very strong blocking high in Greenland pressing southwestward. A deep (intense) upper low in the Tennessee Valley, a strong ridge in the west, and a ridge in the Atlantic along 60 degrees west. In the short term it means rain for Friday on the order of a couple of inches as low pressure moves northward along the Appalachians. That’s the easy part. Its what happens afterwards that makes things difficult because it will keep us in very unsettled weather conditions right through the weekend and possibly through a large portion of next week.

WEATHER MODELS SHOW STRONG BLOCKING GFS FORECAST THURSDAY MAY 11

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Just how slow will things move you may ask? Well get a look at the upper air forecast for next Thursday. The block has retrograded westward into Labrador. In the meantime the upper air storm in the Tennessee Valley on Friday is sitting just to our east next Thursday!!!

The day to day weather after Friday’s soaking rain will be highly unsettled. We will probably see chances for showers just about every day through much of next week. It will also be very cool across the Great Lakes Ohio Valley & Northeast through the period. We will begin below average temperatures on Saturday and it will remain cooler than average right through mid month as the blocking hangs stubborn.

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