Warmer Air On The Way Rain Tuesday Colder
Snow Ice Rain Thursday Night Into Friday
Warmer Air On The Way Rain Tuesday Colder
Snow Ice Rain Thursday Night Into Friday
After a beautiful day of sunshine and temperatures that made it above the freezing mark. we are headed for a warmer night. The core of this cold air mass is moving off the coast now and headed east. This will turn winds to west overnight and to southwest Monday and eventually to the south. Temperatures overnight will bottom about 10 degrees higher than they did this morning with most lows in the mid 20s to lower 30s. Skies are clear this evening and it should remain that way through most if not all of the night. Radars are nice and quiet across most of the Northeast & Northern Mid Atlantic states.
SATELLITE
WEATHER RADAR
Monday will be a nice day and a warmer day. Some high clouds will start to arrive later in the day. The wind from the southwest will take temperatures up into the 50s South facing shorelines will probably see the wind more from the south and that should limit temperatures to the upper 40s along those areas.
No rain is forecast Monday and Monday night but the next storm system is headed our way for Tuesday. Low pressure from the Plains heads for the lower Great Lakes and then moves into upstate NY and Northern New England. The storm is similar to last Thursday’s in track but is not as intense so other than it being breezy from the southwest we are not anticipating wind issues.
Highs will be in the 50s. Rainfall amounts will be generally in a 1/2 to 3/4 inch range. Some lead rain will come in Tuesday morning with a steadier rain developing later in the day into Tuesday night. The rain should be gone by Wednesday morning.
Colder air will arrive behind this system but we will have to wait for a second weaker front to pass through late Wednesday. We will see decreasing clouds Wednesday and some sunshine should develop probably late morning or in the afternoon. With the leftover warm air around and temperatures starting out in the 50s, we probably will see highs in the 60s before it turns much colder Wednesday night.
Most lows Wednesday night will be in the 20s to around 30. Thursday high pressure builds from the Great Lakes to Eastern Canada and that cold air bleeds southward on north winds. Sunshine will start us off Thursday but clouds will arrive later in the day. The next storm system heads our way in this active pattern. Highs Thursday will be in the mid to upper 30s.
Unlike the storm systems we have seen this winter which had multiple parts from the northern and southern jet streams and the other players ahead and behind them, this one in some ways is easier. Like the first two systems ahead of it, another one will come out from the south and head northeast. As each prior system weakens the Atlantic ridge, this system will track further south and east than the others. We have cold air just our north. This is really ultimately going to depend on how much cold air bleeds southward as the moisture from the next low moves northeast. Low pressure will head up the Appalachians Thursday night and will attempt to redevelop off the Delaware coast. This is a primary to secondary low type system so how fast the secondary develops and where is key. If it develops fast enough it will cut off the warm air trying to move north. This will determine precipitation type and amounts including snow and ice amounts. Weather models will spend the next 3 days probably going back and forth from warmer to colder and back again. We will likely have to wait until at least Wednesday to see if the cold air to the north will be more important or not. Today’s models were mixed. Some a shade warmer, some a shade colder. Nothing new came of it and I don’t expect any revelations in either direction over the next few days. Longer range shows us in a colder than average pattern overall (not every single day) so there could be a couple of more snow chances as we head into the first half of March.
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