Warm Weather Will It Ever Get Here?
Warm Weather Will It Ever Get Here?
Somehow the impression that the moment the sun crosses the equator marks the beginning of warm weather and sunshine needs to be debunked once and for all. The fact is most Springs especially the first half are miserable. Aside from the fact that cold air masses from Canada are still coming southeast, we have a 40-45 degree ocean to the east which sees to it that the warmer days take a long time to get here. It takes a good 5 to 6 weeks before the atmosphere truly gets overwhelmed by warmer air. Yes there could be the odd warm day here and there but as far as sustained warm weather, there is very little in the upper air weather pattern at the moment that suggests that prolonged warmth is on the way.
Take a look at this snapshot view of the jet stream pattern for Tuesday of next week. Since early March we have see a strong Pacific jet coupled with a flow of colder air from Canada and blocking which shows up from time to time. A jet stream pattern like this is not conducive to a prolonged warm up. Yes the odd day here and there in the 60s to low 70s is possible in between weather systems but with systems moving through every two or 3 days, a prolonged warm pattern cant set up. This seems to be the case through much of the first 10 days of April.
During the second week of April there are signs that the Pacific jet stream could relax enough and allow a strong ridge to build off the southeast coast of the United States like we saw during the winter months. If this is the case then we could see several days of warmer than average dry weather during the period April 12-15th.
WARM WEATHER APRIL13-15
At the moment the warmth looks to be short lived but things can always change going forward. Some other models do offer the chance of a warmer than average pattern setting up in the longer term or perhaps for the second half of the month but for now that remains in the land of the unknown.
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