VERY COLD AIR ARRIVES GUSTY WINDS SUNSHINE
SNOW ARRIVES THURSDAY, CHANGES TO ICE & RAIN
NO CHANGES IN MY SNOW FORECAST
Looking at the weather models this morning there seems to have been some minor adjustments with regards the Thursday’s system but not enough to change any forecast materially. The cold air that sets up in the Northeast and Interior Mid Atlantic is coming in this morning and we are seeing gusty winds and some leftover high clouds. We should see some sunshine today but temperatures will be going nowhere with highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s. Radars are quiet today and should remain quiet overnight.
Tonight will be the coldest night of the season so far as high pressure builds to our north and a north wind funnels cold air all the way south into the Carolina mountains. Lows tonight for us will be in the Hudson Valley to Northeast Pennsylvania and Northwest New Jersey with warmer urban centers in the middle 20s.
NAM MODEL 7AM THURSDAY THROUGH 1AM FRIDAY
We are going to go with the NAM model. Snow arrives in Southern Pennsylvanian between 7-9am reaching NYC around 1pm or so and about 3pm in Connecticut and the Hudson Valley north of route 84. I think my forecast from yesterday still looks good to me.
There will likely be some icing issues developing inland particularly in the Northern & Western Counties of New Jersey, Northeastern Pennsyvlania,and then northeast into Southern New England. There will be areas here that do not get above 32 degrees through Thursday night.
Ice accumulation will be significant in some areas as the map indicates particularly in NW New Jersey & Northeast Pennsylvania. The icing is even more significant southwestward into Central Pennsylvania into the Blue Ridge mountains in Virginia. The storm pulls away Friday morning with leftover clouds to follow Friday afternoon. The weekend is looking quiet with some sunshine for both Saturday and Sunday with temperatures in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Another cold front arrives late Sunday and there could be a few scattered shower Sunday evening or Sunday night.
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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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