tropical storm matthew

Tropical Storm Matthew Nears Hurricane Strength

Tropical Storm Matthew Nears Hurricane Strength

Tropical Storm Matthew Nears Hurricane Strength

In spite of the fact that there are some issues with regards to strengthening in the Eastern Caribbean, Tropical Storm Matthew continues to organize and strengthen. Most times when the Air Force plane finds winds at flight level level that are much higher than you might otherwise expect, it is usually a sign that something is going on. Pressures have dropped another 6 mb since the last reconnaissance report a few hours ago to 996 mb. Flight level winds of 80 knots and a sustained wind of 64 knots suggest that Matthew is close to hurricane strength at the moment. Sometimes you see the winds increase and then the pressure has a subsequent drop.

000
URNT12 KNHC 291153
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE   AL142016
A. 29/11:32:10Z
B. 14 deg 07 min N
  065 deg 27 min W
C. 850 mb 1390 m
D. 64 kt
E. 306 deg 18 nm
F. 059 deg 80 kt
G. 311 deg 42 nm
H. 996 mb
I. 16 C / 1526 m
J. 22 C / 1524 m
K. 15 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF303 0414A MATTHEW            OB 05
MAX FL WIND 80 KT 311 / 42 NM 11:18:00Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 095 / 11 KT
;

tropical storm matthew

 

tropical storm matthew

Tropical Storm Matthew is already more intense that what some models suggested it to be at this point so I guess we just go with it from this point. Conditions seem favorable for further strengthening especially in the next few days as wind shear across the Caribbean continues to lessen.

..HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS MATTHEW A LITTLE STRONGER...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 65.5W
ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 265 MI...430 KM ENE OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests along the coast of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor
the progress of Matthew.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 65.5 West.  Matthew is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a general westward
motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the
next couple of days.  On the forecast track, the center of Matthew
is forecast to pass to the north of Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao
through Friday.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Gradual strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane later
today or tonight.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
primarily to the north and east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from
reconnaissance aircraft is 995 mb (29.38 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible in Bonaire, Curacao,
and Aruba beginning late today.

RAINFALL:  Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and
southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday.  These
rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north
into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and
British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3
inches are expected over Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao through Friday.

 

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 1 OCEAN WATER TEMPERATURES

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 2 ARCTIC SEA ICE AND SIBERIAN SNOW COVER

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 3 NEW JERSEY PREVIEW

WINTER 2016-2017 PART 4 EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA PREVIEW

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

JOIN JOESTRADAMUS ON YOUTUBE!

LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE

LONG ISLAND WEATHER

NEW YORK WEATHER

 

Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!

 

googleplay

 


storm free

 

 

 


Liked it? Take a second to support joestradamus on Patreon!