tropical storm kirk

Tropical Storm Kirk Forms Eastern Atlantic

KIRK FORMS IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11 WEAK BARELY MOVING

SUBTROPICAL STORM LIKELY TO FORM IN CENTRAL ATLANTIC

WEAK LOW PRESSURE WELL OFF SE US COAST REMAINS WEAK

The Atlantic Ocean is spinning around with 4 systems and a new Tropical Storm Kirk that formed over the Eastern Atlantic this morning. Kirk is off the African Coast and moving westward at about 20 mph. Conditions are somewhat favorable for some strengthening over the next several days before it runs into stronger winds out to the west about half way across the Tropical Atlantic.

…NEW TROPICAL STORM FORMS WELL SOUTH OF THE CABO VERDE
ISLANDS…
…EXPECTED TO MOVE QUICKLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE DEEP TROPICAL
ATLANTIC…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…8.3N 23.6W
ABOUT 450 MI…730 KM S OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES

Some of that shear will likely be produced by what is likely a developing subtropical storm in the Central Atlantic. That system is evident on the satellite loop this afternoon as a sprawling non tropical low at the moment but conditions are favorable for a transition to a subtropical or tropical storm over the next few days. That storm is forecast to meander over the Central Atlantic for at least the next week to 10 days posing no threat to land.

WIDE ATLANTIC TROPICAL SATELLITE

storm free

East of the Windward Islands Tropical Depression 11 remains about 500 miles east of those islands and crawling west at about 3 mph. Clouds are being blown off to the northeast thanks to strong wind shear which will likely get stronger on Sunday. This depression will likely dissipate Sunday or Monday.

…TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE IN A DAY OR TWO…

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…13.2N 53.8W
ABOUT 485 MI…780 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…30 MPH…45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 280 DEGREES AT 3 MPH…6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES

tropical storm kirk

Meanwhile a week low level circulation continues to sit well off the Southeast Coast of the US to the west of the potential subtropical storm to its east. Some convection has developed to day to the east of the low level center however the satellite loop above shows some shearing occurring of the cloud tops and there is no convection to speak of near the circulation center. This low will drift westward over the next few days and may eventually get involved with a cold front forecast to move into the Appalachians. Right now it appears that this system will be able to organize until it gets closer to the coast where upper level winds are more favorable. None of the global models show this system developing and it will more than likely be absorbed by the approaching frontal boundary. The National Hurricane Center now has 40 percent chance of this developing into a tropical cyclone in the next 5 days but it may have a limited amount of time under more favorable conditions to do so.

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THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

Please consult your local National Weather Service office at weather.gov for the latest information on any tropical or storms or hurricanes that could be a threat to your area. Consult your local government officials regarding action you may need to take to secure life and property

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