TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT THREAT CONTINUES
TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT THREAT CONTINUES
The broad low pressure center in the NW Caribbean has now emerged into the Gulf of Mexico. Satellite loops show that much of the thunderstorms remain east of the center and the system remains disorgainzed though a large area of gale force winds is being produced offshore. With the low now offshore and marginally favorable conditions for development we could see this system become a tropical depression or tropical storm at any time. Watch the center of circulation on the satellite loop to see if thunderstorms begin to develop around the center. There seems to be some action now near the low center. Lets see if this continues for the rest of the day.
With regards to the future of this system most of the weather models strengthen this to a tropical storm and the hurricane models continue to cluster the system somewhere along the Texas Louisana coastline. Longer term models seem to want to bring the remnant moisture to the Northeast late this week or this weekend but we will have to see on this.
The wider satellite loops also show the tropical disturbance in the Atlantic approaching the northern coast of South America. This system is so far south that we could see this move into Venezuela.
…HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THE
DISTURBANCE TO DETERMINE IF IT IS A TROPICAL STORM…
SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST…1800 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…8.8N 57.8W
ABOUT 240 MI…385 KM ESE OF TRINIDAD
ABOUT 330 MI…530 KM SE OF GRENADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 275 DEGREES AT 25 MPH…41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005 MB…29.68 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Curacao has issued a Tropical Storm Watch for that
country.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Trinidad
* Tobago
* Grenada
* Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Bonaire
* Curacao
* Aruba
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24
hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
A Hurricane Hunter Plane is currently investigating this system to see if tropical storm status has been achieved.