tropical storm cindy

Tropical Storm Cindy Moving On Land 50 MPH Winds Heavy Rain

Tropical Storm Cindy Moving On Land 50 MPH Winds Heavy Rain

Tropical Storm Cindy Moving On Land 50 MPH Winds Heavy Rain

The satellite loop tonight clearly shows the center of Tropical Storm Cindy making landfall right along the coast the Louisiana Texas border. Top winds are 50 mph however the big issue with Tropical Storm Cindy continues to be the heavy rains that have been falling across the Central Gulf coast.

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The latest radar loop shows the center moving inland with a core of heavy rains spreading west toward Houston and Galveston in Texas. Bands of rain continue on the east side bring rain inland however the satellite loop does show a dry slot now pushing into Southeast Louisiana where some areas have received more than 6 inches of rain.

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TROPICAL STORM CINDY LAKE CHARLES RADAR

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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Cindy Advisory Number 10…Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032017
1000 PM CDT Wed Jun 21 2017

Corrected location information in Summary

…HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST…
…LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE…

 

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…28.6N 93.4W
ABOUT 105 MI…170 KM S OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA
ABOUT 95 MI…150 KM SSE OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH…11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…992 MB…29.30 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued east of Grand
Isle, Louisiana.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* San Luis Pass Texas to Grand Isle

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cindy was
located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 93.4 West. Cindy is
moving toward the north-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A turn
toward the north should occur by Thursday morning, with a turn
toward the northeast expected on Friday. On the forecast track,
the center of Cindy will move inland near the Louisiana-Texas border
early Thursday, then move across western and northern Louisiana and
into southeastern Arkansas Thursday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected before landfall, with
weakening occurring thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on recent observations
from oil rigs near the center is 992 mb (29.29 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts up to 15 inches over
southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
western portions of the Florida Panhandle through Thursday night.
This rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding in these
areas.

Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5 inches with isolated maximum amounts of
7 inches can be expected farther west across western Louisiana and
eastern Texas through Thursday night. Rainfall should spread
northeastward across Arkansas and into portions of the Tennessee
and Ohio Valleys through Friday, with total rain accumulations of
3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts possible.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions should spread westward and
northward through the Tropical Storm Warning area through Thursday.

STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is
expected along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning
area. Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is also possible
elsewhere along the coast from southeastern Louisiana to the western
Florida Panhandle in areas of strong onshore winds.

TORNADOES: A few tornadoes are possible tonight from the far
western Florida Panhandle across southwestern Alabama, southern
Mississippi, and southern Louisiana.

Gradual weakening will now begin and Cindy will be a remnant low in 24 hours or so though the heavy rains will continue to push northward. It appears that the remnant rains will weaken as the move northeastward and while we will see some showers and thunderstorms running around Friday into early Saturday due to a cold front, the rains from Cindy will not add much more to that. Most models show this idea though the GFS model does continue to paint a wetter picture for Saturday.

TROPICAL STORM CINDY REMNANTS GFS MODEL CLICK TO ANIMATE

tropical storm cindy

This should mean improving weather conditions for Pennsylvania, New Jersey, NYC, Hudson Valley, Long Island, and Connecticut later in the day Saturday and Sunday still looks to be a nice sunny day regardless.