TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT

Tropical Development Still Possible Next Several Days

Tropical Development Still Possible Next Several Days

Tropical Development Still Possible Next Several Days

Tropical development and tropical storm formation is still possible over the next few days but frankly it is a struggle. The bullish weather models a few days ago already had the tropical wave in the Eastern Atlantic as a tropical storm and clearly that has not happened. The wave remains rather disorganized as it moves to the west. Also notice on the water vapor loop an upper low has developed in the Atlantic northeast of the Leeward Islands which is creating an area of hostile upper level winds.

 The tropical wave in the Central Caribbean actually looks a bit more concentrated this morning as it moves to the west or west northwest. If it doesn’t move inland over Central America and heads into the Northwest Caribbean, it has a shot of developing into a tropical depression or tropical storm. The European model is actually bullish on this idea while it does nothing with the Atlantic system.

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We wlll be discussing this at the Lindenhurst Library in Lindenhurst NY on Long Island later today at 2pm and all are invited to attend. It should be lots of sun with lively discussion and a few facebook livecasts as well.

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

 

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