tropical storm brett

Tropical Depression 3 Close to Tropical Storm Strength

Tropical Depression 3 Close to Tropical Storm Strength

Tropical Depression 3 Close to Tropical Storm Strength

The tropics are exceptionally busy for this time of year. To have one tropical storm is not that unusual but to have 2 of them running around at the same time in mid June is rare indeed. We will start with Tropical Depression 3 in the Central Gulf of Mexico. The latest satellite loop shows thunderstorms beginning to forma around a broad circulation center. A large area of tropical storm force winds are already being observed and this system is very close to becoming a tropical storm. Tropical Storm Warnings are posted for the Central Gulf Coast from

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 SATELLITE LOOP

storm free

…DISTURBANCE STATIONARY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO…

 

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…24.0N 89.2W
ABOUT 350 MI…560 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 415 MI…670 KM SSE OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB…29.53 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Intracoastal City to the Mouth of the Pearl River

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* West of Intracoastal City to High Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 24 to 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the U.S. Gulf Coast from the central Texas
coast to the western Florida Panhandle should monitor the progress
of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
24.0 North, longitude 89.2 West. The system has been stationary
during the past few hours. However, a motion toward the
north-northwest is expected to resume later tonight, followed by a
turn toward the northwest on Tuesday and Tuesday night. On the
forecast track, the disturbance will move toward the Louisiana
coast on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible before the system
reaches the coast.

Upper-level winds are expected to be marginally conducive for some
additional development of this system during the next day or two,
and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form during that
time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…high…80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…80 percent
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
to the north and east of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from
reconnaissance aircraft and nearby ships is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 3 FORECAST TRACK

tropical storm brett

The above map is the National Hurricane Center forecast map. It strengthens the system to a tropical storm and bringing it inland somewhere close to the Louisiana Texas border. Most of the hurricane models cluster the storm in that area and then take the remnants north and northeastward.

tropical depression 3

 

 

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