Subtropical or Tropical Storm Development Possible
Subtropical or Tropical Storm Development Possible
Later this week after we see record highs for a couple of days we will start to shift our attention to the Southeast Coast of the U.S. southward into the Bahamas. We have been indicating that pressures across the subtropics from the Bahamas southward into the Caribbean are very low. It will be a matter of time before something spins up somewhere in that area. Right now the Bahamas seem to be the most likely place where something is going to develop. Right now the water vapor imagery shows disturbed weather increasing from the Bahamas southward into the Southern Caribbean. Originally models were pointing to this area for possible development but shifted northward over time.
Subtropical or Tropical Storm Development Possible
The visible satellite loop shows the areas as two separate entities. Given the time of year and the fact that this weather system if it develops may not have much time to strengthen, it is quite possible that we could wind up with something subtropical or a hybrid of some sort. Should a tropical system of some sort develop, if it tracks up the east coast it could bring some drought easing rains to areas from New Jersey to Southern New England that are suffering a severe drought. On the other side is a tropical storm in the Carolinas where the flooding continues as rivers continue to rise. Ideally anything moving up the east coast has to bypass the Carolinas and then bring rain from New Jersey northward. A tall order yes but not impossible.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
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