Storm Thursday Looks Potent Heavy Rain Wind
Storm Thursday Looks Potent Heavy Rain Wind
Once Tuesday’s system plays through Wednesday is shaping up to be a dry day with sunshine. However the second storm system heading toward the east coast for Thursday and Friday appears to be a bit of a powerhouse as weather models all forecast a rather intense surface storm to develop.
GFS FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY INTENSE STORM DEVELOPS
Antother (and it appears to be the last) in this series of storms will be coming out of the Southern Plains and heading for Western Pennsylvania/ Western NY as show on the GFS model sequence above (click to animate). This system has a tremendous amount of upper air support as the feature aloft strengthens as it moves eastward. It looks to be another 1 to 2 inch rain producer combined with a strong southeast wind along the coast. Thankfully for south facing shore lines we are in between important moon phases so coastal flooding is not going to be a big issue. However as far as rain goes with an increasingly saturated ground, localized flooding could be an issue. The upper air storm may take a couple of days to get out of the way so genuine improvement may not happen until Saturday
Once the upper air feature pulls out off the east coast, a large ridge is forecast to build in the east. This is going to set us up for 3 warm days beginning on Monday and lasting into Wednesday. Typically the models don’t warm up fast enough so we could be in the 70s both Monday and Tuesday.
We will go into the warming trend in a bit more detail later today and in the next coming days.
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