Snow Inland Mix Or Rain Coast Saturday Night into Sunday,
Major Storm Rain Wind, Snow Well Inland Late Tuesday into Wednesday
Snow Inland Mix Or Rain Coast Saturday Night into Sunday,
Major Storm Rain Wind, Snow Well Inland Late Tuesday into Wednesday
Today sees a low developing offshore that is moving out to the east so it will be another day of clouds at least at the start. The radar is picking up some rain offshore and it is possible at least through this morning could produce a light rain or snow shower. Otherwise we are going to see improvement as we move through the day and low pulls out offshore. Look for decreasing clouds from west to east as the day wears on and this afternoon should see some developing sunshine. Most highs today will be in the lower 40s.
SATELLITE WITH LIGHTNING STRIKES
WEATHER RADAR
Drier and slightly colder air begins to build southward from Eastern Canada tonight as skies clear and lows by morning will be mostly in the 20s to around 30. Friday is going to be a chilly day with sunshine but highs will only be in the mid to upper 30s. Friday night under clear skies and a northerly wind, lows will be mostly in the 20s area wide with even a few upper teens in the coldest spots well north and northwest of the coast.
Now let;s move to the weekend. We have seen a series of lows move across the Gulf States this week and so far they have all be on the weak side and sliding to the east. This system that is now moving through the Southwest US has more to it and will move across the Gulf States tonight and then turn northward up the coast later Saturday. Snow and ice will develop across interior Virgnia and then spread northeastward, reaching the Northeast Pennsylvania to NYC by Saturday evening and into Southern New England Saturday night.
Areas just inland north and west of the big cities from Washington to Baltimore, Philadelphia, to NYC will start as snow, and a mix to rain south and east of that line over Coastal and Southern New Jersey as well as Long Island. Preciptiation will likely line up that way overnight into Sunday morning meaning that more significant accumulation inland.
The map above shows the Weather Prediction Center’s probability for at least 2 inches and i have highlighted the 50% chance line in black which basically runs up along I-95 for the most part. I’m thinking south and east of that line it will be a sloppy inch to at most 2 and closer to the coast it may just be a mix or rain. To the northwest amounts go higher and I’m thinking 2 to 4 inches across Northern New Jersey and the lower Hudson Valley and 4 to 6 inches for Northeast Pennsylvaia northeast into the Catskills and into Connecticut.
Above is the WPC probability of at least 4. On both maps I drew in the 50 percent chance line. It has been my experience that 50% is a good indicator of a 4 inch boundary line so the chances that north and west of that line for at least 4 inches rise considerably. Those of you on my subscription platform on Patreon can message me directly regarding specific amounts. Precipitation will be ending, mostly as snow Sunday morning except for right along the immediate coast. Temperatuers Sunday will be in the low to mid 30s.
Another cold high will begin building strongly into Southeastern Canada and New England Sunday night into Tuesday morning bringing cold air soutthward. Monday we look for sunshine and highs will be in the mid 30s to around 40. Then Tuesday we turn our attention to a developing storm coming out of the Southern Plains. This is going to strengthen into a major storm as all the models are on board with this idea. Tuesday will see increasing clouds from south to north. Snow and ice will develop inland in Pennsylvania and NY state and there could be a significant front end thumping of snow in these areas. Rain develops near the coast and then look for heavy rain and very strong winds Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. I’m anticipating another 2 inch plus rainfall for some and winds from the south southeast gusting to 50 mph or more. The storm will likely produce heavy snow and blizzard conditions from the Central Plains starting Monday and spreading northeast into the Upper Mississippi Valley and the Great Lakes. This storm is likely to disrupt travel in a big way in the entire eastern half of the US. We will see heavy rain and severe weather risks beginning Monday across the Gulf Coast and then into the South and Southeast US Tuesday into Tuesday night. We will be talking more about this storm once the weekend system is done.
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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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