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Snow Friday New NAM Model Outlook

Snow Friday New NAM Model Outlook

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Snow Friday New NAM Model Outlook

Tonight’s new NAM model run suggests a slightly more robust system with the first low moving northeast along the coast Thursday night into Friday morning. Precipitation on the model depicted radar is a little stronger and the model does suggest a coating to a couple of inches is possible. This leaves my early forecast call for Friday in a bit of a better position tonight. I’m not making any changes to it and am at this moment at least feeling a little more confident.

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All three versions of tonight’s NAM model show this and they also show a band of heavier snow not that far offshore. I want to see the next few runs to see if this holds. This still means a MINOR event but again it would at least insure the amounts forecast. The models all show some isolated 2 to 3 inch amounts scattered along the coast with this run.

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The NAM model seems to be responding to a slightly stronger short wave of energy swinging around the Great Lakes lending a little more support to the surface wave developing.

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Another development is that tonight’s GFS model shows snow on the coast for the first time.

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We will monitor this on Wednesday to see if these trends continue. A deeper lead system here may ultimately suppress the second system for Saturday. We will see how the global models handle this later tonight.

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS

          

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