Snow Forecast Thursday Possibility
NEW YORK CITY AND VICINITY SNOW
Snow Forecast Thursday Possibility
The National Weather Service in Upton NY which forecasts for the NYC Northern New Jersey area seems to be trying to get a jump on whatever happens here on Thursday with regards to low pressure developing to our south as a cold front moves through. Afternoon weather model runs show that wave deepening and it might be enough to produce nor’easter conditions for parts of New England. Unless the wave really gets going further south and intensifies rapidly, this should not be an issue for us. However the possibility of that happening however small is there and we will continue to monitor the progress of weather models on this over the next 2 days. Remember it is far more likely to see something pop up here at the last minute rather than seeing it out 10 days in time.
All the models seem to line up close with this developing wave and you notice on the NAM model that it deepens the low considerably as it heads toward Boston. Literally taken here of course it would not be an issue here but again with the North Atlantic Oscillation approaching neutral and going negative I want to watch this carefully in case there is some sort of last minute surprise.
Meanwhile this evening temperatures in Northwest New Jersey and the Hudson Valley are having a tough time getting above freezing. The warm front to the south will make headway overnight but in some areas to the north it may not be until after midnight before temperatures rise above 32 so be cautious on roadways if travelling north and north west of Route 84. Freezing rain advisories are posted for those areas.
Radars are showing some scattered activity but there is also drizzle that the radar is not picking up. We will see some steadier showers later tonight as long as they hold together. They should be out around daybreak and then we will dry out with increasing amounts of sunshine Tuesday. Temperatures could reach the mid to upper 50s before colder air takes over Tuesday night and Wednesday. Wednesday we will see sunshine and some passing clouds but highs will be in the cooler low to mid 40s. Then we deal with Thursday’s weather system before it turns colder for Friday and Saturday.
Right now New Years Eve looks dry but there will be a weak warm front nearby Saturday that could produce some light rain or snow when the ball drops at midnight. Longer range still shows a colder trend over time. Here is JOESTRADAMUS with his latest video analysis.
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