The second area is the more important one because that will be more widespread in nature. A wave is going to develop on the front and hopefully we can grind out an inch or 2 of rain out of this. I have repeatedly said over the last few days how in the few chances we have had for rain in the last few months, models have underperformed; that is we wind up with much less than forecast. Since the models are forecasting 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts, it is wise to perhaps bank on half of this and hope that it turns out to be as modeled.
I don’t want to sound pessimistic about this but when in a dry pattern this is what happens. When you are in a wet pattern, it winds up the other way. At the end of the day, it is rain and we need rain..lots of it. At least 6 inches of rain in most areas along the coastal plain to get us back close to average for the year. We don’t want it all at once. Rain needs to be spread out over a few days.
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