Near Record Highs Saturday,
Snow Risks Grow For Tuesday Especially Just Inland of the Coast
Near Record Highs Saturday,
Snow Risks Grow For Tuesday Especially Just Inland of the Coast
Having a day of near record highs, and a potential heavy snow fall a day or two later is not that unusual especially as we get to the latter stages of the winter season. It has happened quite a few times in late February and March, especially in years where winters are having warmer than normal temperatures. That said, today is the very warm day of the next 5 days as we have a west wind and some sunshine. That should boost highs to the upper 50s and lower 60s this afternoon. Some stations have low hanging fruit when it comes to record highs so they should be hit. The amount of sunshine we get will determine who breaks above 60 degrees.
SATELLITE WITH LIGHTNING STRIKES
WEATHER RADAR
Radars for now are nice and quiet but later this afternoon and into this evening some scattered rain showers are possible as a cold front makes its way through the Northeast and Mid Atlantic states. Scattered showers will be around through the evening hours and then afterwards leftover clouds with most lows Sunday morning in the upper 30s to middle 40s.
Sunday we see clouds and some sunshine but probably more sun as you go north of NYC and more clouds as you go south. The intial push of air behind the front is a little cooler but not cold with highs Sunday in the upper 40s to lower 50s. The slow trend downward continues Sunday night with lows in the 30s. Monday look for sunshine and some clouds with highs mostly in the 40s.
Low pressure will develop along the old frontal boundary in the Southern Plains Sunday and spread heavy rain eastward across the Gulf States as well as the Tennessee and Lower Ohio Valley. This low will track to the Appalachians and likely center jump to just off the coast of the Delmarva Peninsula Monday night into early Tuesday morning. The main driver with this storm is the strong upper air profile that will strengthen this system as it moves east.
Those strong dynamics will come into play Tuesday morning as cold air mixes from the top of the atmosphere down to the surface. The intensity of the precipitation will cool surface temperatures to 32 or less. Rain and snow mix develops during the early morning hours and quickly changes to snow inland before daybreak and along the coastal areas from Central New Jersey to Long Island and south coastal New England Tuesday morning.
By 7am Tuesday the map above shows snow accumulations but there will be more snow during the day Tuesday so amounts here could easily double. The accumulating snow for the coast will likely occur between 7am and 4pm. Intensity will be the primary driver of accumulations and it is possible that some areas could briefly see snow falling at rates of 2 inches or more per hour. The intensity will compensate for the lack of very cold air especially in areas just inland. Temperatures will settle close to the freezing mark Tuesday with snow ending from west to east during the afternoon. Weather conditions will improve Tuesday night into Wednesday. Some areas just inland of the coast could see 6 inches or more of accumulation with lower amounts to the south and east. Snow forecasts late today will cover the entire time range of this storm system and we will be updating those maps later today. Some sunshine and chilly conditions return Wednesday.
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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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