Near Record Highs Pennsylvania Into New England Severe Weather Risks Monday
The weekend in Eastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England will be a volatile one as far as temperatures are concerned. It will culminate Monday with thunderstorms and severe weather risks. Today is going to be very warm and we could even see some record highs. A weather front lies east-west across Upstate NY and Central New England. North of the front it is cold with snow and ice. To the south of the front it will be very warm and sunny with record highs reaching the 80s in many locations. Even the coast will see temperatures reach the 70s before any sea breeze develops along south and east facing shore lines.
SATELLITE WITH LIGHTNING STRIKES
WEATHER RADAR
This very warm weather will be short lived as that weather front will move southward later today and reach Long Island and NYC this evening as winds shift from the west southeast to the east. That brings in cooler air off the ocean for tonight and Sunday. That front will stall out across Southern New Jersey and Southern Pennsylvania Sunday and then move back northward Sunday night.
Monday the warm front will be to our north again and a strong cold front will be heading eastward. This is going to set off showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening and some of the thunderstorms could potentially be severe. The Storm Prediction Center is indicating a large area of “slight risk” or a 15 percent chance for severe weather from Florida to Western New England including all of Eastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England. There will also be some tornado risk with these storms.
Ahead of all this we have cooler temperatures coming in on east winds tonight along with clouds. Most lows tonight will be in the upper 30s across Southern New England and Long Island, 40s to near 50 everywhere else. Sunday will be a different sort of day with the stalled front to the south across Southern New Jersey and Southern Pennsylvania.
The warm front is drawn in across the area so south of the front temperatures will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s with no worse than a mix of sun and clouds. To the north and east of the front which includes much of Northern New Jersey, the Hudson Valley, Long Island and Southern New England, we will see highs mostly in the 40s and 50s. Sunday night the front moves north and that sets us up for a warmer Monday area wide. highs in general will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s from northeast to southwest.
There could be some showers or even a thunderstorm during the early morning hours Monday into midday. They should be scattered in nature. Then more numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop in the afternoon and evening and move west to east. This will be time for the potential for severe thunderstorms in the mix. Monday highs will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s from north to south. Weather conditions improve Tuesday with much colder air, some sunshine, and highs just into the 50s.
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Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.