Mostly Snowless Winter Continues Into February Snow Weenies Circling The Abyss
We are coming to the end of the second snowiest month or in some cases the snowiest month of the winter season. Other than 2 minor events in the I-95 corridor earlier this month that left less than a few inches in both instances, there has been little for snow lovers to cheer about. Nor do we see anything in the future to cheer about if you are a snow weenie. They can be seen waving the white towels of surrender and throwing the towel into the abyss! Nothing in the short or medium range outlook remotely suggests any change in this unrelenting weather pattern. Arctic air remains locked up in the Arctic and has been for weeks. The North Atlantic Oscillation (blocking) has been virtually non existent for years during the winter months. The Northeast Pacific pressure pattern is opposite of what you would like to see. Instead we plod along in seasonal cold, watch a storm pass to the south and east Friday night into Saturday morning, and then move on to warmer temperatures for next week.
At least we got rid of enough cloud cover yesterday to enjoy some sunshine and we should enjoy some sunshine to at least start this Thursday before high clouds roll in later on. It won’t completely obliterate the sun but there will be enough cloud cover to keep temperatures in check in the 30s to near 40.
Tonight will be dry and cold with lows in the 20s to near 30. Friday we will see more clouds around with only some hints of sunshine. We will start setting up a pathway for a storm system coming out of the Gulf of Mexico and heading to the northeast. Highs Friday will be in the upper 30s and lower 40s.
The path of least resistance for this coastal storm will be northeast and south and east of New Jersey and Long Island. Rain looks to graze South Jersey down to Delaware and perhaps touching Long Island for a short time late Friday night into Saturday morning. The storm will intensify offshore but too far out to create any issues here of any kind. We get through that and weather conditions start to improve Saturday afternoon with leftover clouds and highs into the 40s. Rainfall amounts will be minimal and under a quarter of an inch. In most places it will likely be under a tenth of an inch. Sunday we should see some sunshine with highs in the 40s. This will definitely be the better of the two weekend days.
Next Monday and Tuesday high pressure will be off the Southeast US coast which sets up a warm west southwest flow of air. Look for some sunshine on Monday and more clouds than sun Tuesday. Highs both days should be at least in the 50s both days. The next weather system and cold front won’t arrive here until later Wednesday with some showers. After that a shot of cold air brings it back to seasonal for a few days. If we are to get any chances for snow going forward we will have to timing everything perfectly. There is no room for error at all. Some winters it finds ways to snow. Those are the winters where you wake up in the morning to a few inches of not predicted snow and you wonder how it happened. This year if we ever see accumulating snow, we will also wonder how it happened!
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any severe weather, tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.