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Weather Synopsis  & Long Range Wednesday  10/28/2020  9pm

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storm free

 

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Zeta Landfalls Accelerates Northeast To Mid Atlantic Thursday

Rain Wind Into Friday, Snow Well North

Flash Flood Watch Central Southern New Jersey southward into Delaware Maryland and Virginia has been posted ahead of the rains from Hurricane Zeta. Landfall occurred late this afternoon and there was a bit of a surprise on the final approach as Zeta strengthened. The hurricane fed off of a deep trough to the west in Texas and began moving at 20 to 25 mph. This negated the negative influence of cooler water and increasing wind shear. Tropical Storm Warnings are now posted through Alabama, North Georgia into the Western North Carolina mountains. Zeta will be transitioning to a post tropical cyclone and will likely hold on to gale force winds as it makes its way through the Central Appalachians and then off the Delaware coast late Thursday.

SATELLITE

storm free

REGIONAL RADAR

storm free

Clouds never really got out of the way today and now they continue to increase and thicken up. Rain on the regional radar is advancing from Western North Carolina and Western Virginia and it should arrive here around or before daybreak from NYC south and shortly afterwards over Southern New England and Long Island. This evening our local radars are silent but they won’t be for much longer.

LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY

storm free

LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA
storm free

Thursday will be all about Zeta moving rapidly northeastward. Maximum sustained winds will likely hold in the 40 to 45 mph range along the track of the storm. Then it moves offshore tomorrow evening off the Delaware coast and continues rapidly northeastward passing south of Long Island around midnight Thursday night.

We are going to continue to stick with the idea of 2 to 3 inches of rain from NYC and Long Island southward with 1 to 2 inches if rain north of there. There could be some locally higher amounts in some places.

As far as the change over to snow is concerned we maintain that it will be for areas north of Route 84 and you may have to go north of Ulster and Dutchess Counties to see accumulations of a slushy few inches in some places.  We didn’t see anything today that causes us to change our minds about that. The second low develops near the coast Friday and and exits quickly to the east so the window of opportunity is a short one. It is possible that some mixing could make its way to the coast.

Weather conditions improve Friday afternoon and it will be rather cold with lows in the 20s to lower 30s Saturday morning bringing first freeze conditions to much of the area from Eastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England. Sunshine is back for Saturday with highs just in the 40s. We will be back into the 50s on Sunday but an even colder shot of air arrives Sunday night lasting into Tuesday of next week.

MANY THTNKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

Please note that with regards to any severe weather,  tropical storms, or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.

SNOW FORECAST MAPS

New York City, Ne NJ, HV, LI, Coastal Ct
https://www.weather.gov/images/rnk/winter/StormTotalSnow.png

SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND

https://www.weather.gov/images/box/winter/StormTotalSnow.png

storm free

NEW JERSEY & PARTS OF NE PA

https://www.weather.gov/images/phi/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb1.png

NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND

https://www.weather.gov/images/car/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb.png

storm free

 WESTERN NEW ENGLAND

https://www.weather.gov/images/btv/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb.png

storm free

 

MIDDLE AND UPPER HUDSON VALLEY

https://www.weather.gov/images/aly/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb.png

storm free

 

CENTRAL NEW YORK & NE PA

https://www.weather.gov/images/bgm/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb1.png

WESTERN NEW YORK

 

CENTRAL & SOUTH CENTRAL PA

https://www.weather.gov/images/ctp/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb.png

WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA EASTERN OHIO

https://www.weather.gov/images/pbz/winter/StormTotalSnow.png

 

VIRGINIA & MARYLAND

https://www.weather.gov/images/lwx/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb1.png

SNOW FORECAST MAPS ACROSS THE SOUTH

SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA

https://www.weather.gov/images/akq/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb1.png

WESTERN VIRGINIA INTO WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
https://www.weather.gov/images/rnk/winter/StormTotalSnow.png

WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA & SOUTH CAROLINA

https://www.weather.gov/images/gsp/winter/StormTotalSnow.png

EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

https://www.weather.gov/images/rah/winter/StormTotalSnowWeb.png

COASTAL & SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA

https://www.weather.gov/images/mhx/winter/StormTotalSnow.png

 

Southern New England Ice Forecast

https://www.weather.gov/images/box/winter/StormTotalIce.png

Middle & Upper Hudson Valley Ice Forecast

https://www.weather.gov/images/aly/winter/StormTotalIce.png

Southeast NY Ice Forecast

https://www.weather.gov/images/okx/winter/StormTotalIce.png

Northeast PA/New Jersey Ice Forecast

https://www.weather.gov/images/phi/winter/StormTotalIce.png

DAILY NORTHEAST SNOWFALL

https://www.weather.gov/images/nerfc/ops/sf1_today.jpg

NATIONAL SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/activity_loop.gif

 

LOCAL SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOKS

https://www.weather.gov/images/okx/EHWO/Day1/SevereThunderstormsDay1.png

https://www.weather.gov/images/phi/EHWO/Day1/SevereThunderstormsDay1.png

 

https://www.weather.gov/images/box/EHWO/Day1/SevereThunderstormsDay1.png

 

https://www.weather.gov/images/aly/EHWO/Day1/SevereThunderstormsDay1.png

NEW YORK CITY AND VICINITY RAIN FORECAST

https://www.weather.gov/images/okx/QPF/StormTotalQPF_SFC.png

 

 

 

EASTERN SATELLITE

storm free

REGIONAL RADAR

storm free

LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY

storm free

LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA

storm free

MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.