Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

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Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

We can start to look toward next weekend with a little bit more confidence. It looks like warmer weather will be in store for the weekend. Weather models seem to be in line with all this. Below are the forecast high temperature maps from the GFS weather model and the Euro weather model lines up pretty well with these numbers.

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook GFS FRIDAY FORECAST HIGHS

gfsfriday

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook GFS FORECAST HIGHS SATURDAY

gfssaturday

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook GFS FORECAST HIGHS SUNDAY

gfssunday Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

GFS FORECAST HIGHS MONDAY

gfsmonday Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

What is happening is that a big ridge aloft is building over the Bahamas and extending northward along the east coast. This will allow things to warm up considerably. The one issue to watch for is whether any kind of back door cold front might come into the equation.

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

GFS UPPER AIR SATURDAY

gfs144

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook GFS SATURDAY MORNING 2AM

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

There are two things to note with regards to the GFS model going into the weekend. First is that there is a bit of an shore flow that sets up for Saturday but it would make it cooler for the first day of the holiday weekend. The second thing to note is low pressure over the Bahamas. Models have been showing some sort of low pressure development there and this could have some sort of tropical implications over time. But that is a story for the end of next week and not for today.

Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook GFS MONDAY MEMORIAL DAY

gfs198 Memorial Day Holiday Weekend Early Outlook

For Monday Memorial day the GFS model has low pressure off the Florida coast and a sense of an onshore flow trying to set up. I believe that the first 2 days of the holiday weekend will be okay with some sunshine both Saturday and Sunday. How warm will depend on the wind. It does not appear to be a weekend with showers to deal with at least through Sunday and possibly through Monday. The lack of troughing in the east would argue against anything moving up the coast.

The bottom line from a forecast standpoint is that highs look to reach into the 80s each day away from the ocean. Sunday and Monday look  to the be the warmer of the weekend days as the onshore flow relaxes and gives way to a more west southwest flow. Friday and Saturday appear to be in the 70s to around 80 inland with a bit of an ocean influence at play. It appears that we should see some sunshine each day and a minimal threat for any rain through Monday. This is the way at looks at the moment.

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