Memorial Day Hinges On Tropical System

Memorial Day Hinges On Tropical System

Memorial Day Hinges On Tropical System

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Another Hot Very Warm Day

Watch for Pop Up Storms

Memorial Day Hinges On Tropical System

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It is another very warm afternoon across the entire area. In fact for some places this will be the third 90 degree day in a row which technically makes it a heatwave. I have always preferred the 5 day heatwave definition but they lowered it to 3 days some years ago. The satellite loop also shows the tropical system off the southeast coast which has become better organized overnight and this morning. An Air Force plane is en route to investigate to see if a tropical depression is forming. Whether it develops or not, weather models seem to want to now drag that moisture up here late Sunday night into Monday. This puts Memorial Day now in some jeopardy.

Memorial Day Hinges On Tropical System Regional Radar

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Meanwhile we are seeing some pop up showers and thunderstorms showing up and there could be a few running around late this afternoon and this evening. Most places probably won’t see anything as this looks more like they will be scattered in nature rather than widespread development. There is no front nearby to create widespread activity. Just watch the skies in case it becomes threatening. Coastal areas like Long Island might be able to avoid all this entirely.

Memorial Day Hinges On Tropical System Local Radars

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We will probably do a repeat performance of today both Saturday and Sunday with inland highs near or just over 90 and coastal areas near or just over 80 especially where there is a south wind.

Sunday night and Memorial Day Hinges On Tropical System off the southeast coast. Weather models are bringing a cold front through on Monday which will have a few showers, however now models want to entrain the tropical moisture from the tropical system and bring those rains up here.

GFS MODEL MONDAY AFTERNOON SURFACE MAP

GFS78 Memorial Day Hinges On Tropical System

NAM MODEL MONDAY AFTERNOON SURFACE MAP

nam78 Memorial Day Hinges On Tropical System

Both the GFS and the NAM model show rain here Monday morning into the afternoon until the cold front moves out. The GFS has a remnant circulation left from the tropical system. So a lot of this will hinge on what the tropical system does or doesn’t do. We will know a little more later today when the plane reports its findings.

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