Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat

Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat

Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat

logo3

As we watch the progression of the next weather system across the Ohio Valley we are seeing the twist on the satellite picture indicative of the energy aloft. It is moving pretty much straight east this afternoon. Precipitation is spreaing into West Virginia southward into Western North Carolina. Clouds are beginning to arrive here as we move into the evening hours. The question is how much of that precipitation is going to survive the trip over the mountains. The air here is cold but it is exceptionally dry with dew points down in the low teens and single digits. Even if that snow survives how much of it is actually going to be able to reach the ground. It most of it gets left back west of the mountains that would not be unusual.

storm free

storm free

storm free

 

Local radars are quiet for the time being however look for these radars to begin showing some precipitation aloft this evening and through the first part of tonight. I would suspect we may see some flakes hitting the ground by around midnight or so for inland areas. My guess is that there will be areas of snow scattered around rather than one large organized area of snow.
storm free
storm free

Attention then shifts to the Carolinas where the surface storm will redevelop tonight and then explode once it passes east of the Carolina Coast. Again the issue here is that the storm center will not be lifting northward far enough to bring the organized heavy precipitaion to the area. The northern fringe may just touch the coasts of New Jersey and Long Island late tonight through Friday morning.

Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat NAM MODEL PRECIPITATION AND SNOW TOTALS THROUGH 4AM FRIDAY

Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat namsnow Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat

The new mid afternoon NAM run through 4am shows just how light the precipitation is. Snow amounts are a coating to at most an inch. Liquid equivalents are at .10 of an inch or so from New Jersey northward.  By day break the new NAM has snow extending to areas around New York City and Long Island. At this point the surface low is right along the North Carolina coast. Now from here the storm will start moving more to the east rather than lift northward. This is probably as far north as the steadiest snow will get. Certainly inland areas will see lighter snows that produce little except for a coating. Once we pass sunrise the sun angle will mean roads should be fine. Before sunrise however, a coating of snow with temperatures in the 20s will make things a little slick in spots so exercise caution.

Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat NAM MODEL 7AM SURFACE MAP

Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat

By 1pm the snow on the nam is done. Except for Southern New Jersey south of rt 195 where there could be an inch or 2 of accumulation, amounts elsewhere will be minimal.

Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat NAM MODEL TOTAL SNOWFALL

Major Ocean Storm No Serious Threat

 

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Long Island

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For New Jersey

FiOS1 News Weather Forecast For Hudson Valley

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SNOW FORECASTS

JOIN JOESTRADAMUS ON YOUTUBE!

LATEST JOESTRADAMUS ON THE LONG RANGE

LONG ISLAND WEATHER

NEW YORK WEATHER

 

Weather App

storm free

Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.

It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.

Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.

Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!

 

storm free

googleplay

 



<

Liked it? Take a second to support joestradamus on Patreon!