Long Range Forecast Colder & Dry
Long Range Forecast Colder & Dry
There is no rule that says that when it’s cold it has to be stormy. A cold dry flow does tend to wake up the lake effect snow machines in upstate New York and the Great Lakes but it doesn’t do much for our area from the standpoint of snow. At least for the next 7 days it seems that we will be in a colder dry pattern. By colder it won’t actually be that cold. Temperatures will be seasonal to the occasional days of below average. We have been above average for the last 2 weeks and January in the New York, New Jersey area is running 5 to 7 degrees above average though the snowfall has been about average.
LONG RANGE FORECAST CANADIAN MODEL WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 1, 2017
Only the Canadian model seems to allow room for something next Tuesday night into Wednesday as it leaves enough room for a trough to sharpen a bit and swing through the northeast. However the other models leave little room and it would be just another cold front.
LONG RANGE FORECAST GFS MODEL
Beyond this period we can see a system that is coming into the west later next week but at this point who knows how that plays out since it is too far out into the long range to even consider at this point. After next week there is model confusion beyond day 10 as models all look completely different at that point. This makes it rather pointless to speculate on the broad picture given what we see today. We can say that no big storms are on the horizon and we are entering a period of cold and calm.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
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