Jose & Tropical Depression Two More Hurricanes Likely to Develop
Jose & Tropical Depression
Two More Hurricanes Likely to Develop
The tropics are on fire at the moment. We have a second tropical storm shown on the satellite loop above which is Tropical Storm Jose. It is out in the Tropical Atlantic about 1000 miles southeast of Hurricane Irma. Satellite loops show that Jose is strengthening and top winds are 50 mph. All model guidance strengthen this to a hurricane in the next few days. It’s future is highly uncertain since it will at some point come under the influence of Hurricane Irma’s expanding outflow. This poses no threat to any land at the moment but we will monitor it as it moves westward.
…JOSE CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN…
…EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT…
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…12.3N 41.7W
ABOUT 1330 MI…2140 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…50 MPH…85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1004 MB…29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the future progress
of Jose.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was
located near latitude 12.3 North, longitude 41.7 West. Jose is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). A slightly faster
west to west-northwest motion is expected during the next two days.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Jose is
expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday night.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None.
You can see all three systems together on the satellite loop below with Irma in the middle. Jose is to the southeast and tropical depression 13 is in the southwest Gulf of Mexico
Tropical depression 13 formed Tuesday afternoon in the Southwestern Gulf of Mexico and while it has not organized into a tropical storm, conditions are favorable for this system to develop. The upper air pattern however will prevent this from moving northward so it is not a threat to Texas or the Gulf Coast. Given the overall pattern it is likely to be pinned down in the Southwest Gulf of Mexico. Conditions there are favorable for development and this depression should become a tropical storm in the next day or 2. Some of the model guidance strengthen this to a hurricane down the road.
…DEPRESSION DRIFTING EASTWARD IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO, COULD BECOME A HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS…
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT…0300 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————–
LOCATION…22.2N 96.4W
ABOUT 95 MI…155 KM E OF TAMPICO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…E OR 100 DEGREES AT 2 MPH…4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1008 MB…29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the Mexican state of Veracruz should monitor the
progress of the depression.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Thirteen was located near latitude 22.2 North, longitude 96.4 West.
The depression is moving toward the east near 2 mph (4 km/h), and
the system should drift eastward and southward during the next
couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of the depression
is expected to remain offshore of Mexico through late Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the
depression could become a hurricane on Friday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
None
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE WONDERFUL USE OF THE MAPS
GET JOE A CIGAR IF YOU LIKE
Weather App
Don’t be without Meteorologist Joe Cioffi’s weather app. It is really a meteorologist app because you get my forecasts and my analysis and not some automated computer generated forecast based on the GFS model. This is why your app forecast changes every 6 hours. It is model driven with no human input at all. It gives you an icon, a temperature and no insight whatsoever.
It is a complete weather app to suit your forecast needs. All the weather information you need is right on your phone. Android or I-phone, use it to keep track of all the latest weather information and forecasts. This weather app is also free of advertising so you don’t have to worry about security issues with your device. An accurate forecast and no worries that your device is being compromised.
Use it in conjunction with my website and my facebook and twitter and you have complete weather coverage of all the latest weather and the long range outlook. The website has been redone and upgraded. Its easy to use and everything is archived so you can see how well Joe does or doesn’t do when it comes to forecasts and outlooks.
Just click on the google play button or the apple store button on the sidebar for my app which is on My Weather Concierge. Download the app for free. Subscribe to my forecasts on an ad free environment for just 99 cents a month.
Get my forecasts in the palm of your hand for less than the cost of a cup of Joe!