Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead

Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead

Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead


After the extreme temperatures of over 30 degrees above normal, we are seeing the atmosphere returning to something resembling typical spring. While the fantasy version of spring is sunshine and 70s everyday, the reality is spring is not the nicest time of year. Especially the early part of spring, we can be subject to the effect of the cold ocean. Either it is with an ocean wind that keeps things rather cool, or it is an onshore flow that sets up that can make things damp and dismal. The second option is where we are headed early next week. The weekend looks rain free and Saturday will be the better of the two weekend days. Sunday we will begin the onshore flow and that will bring in clouds from the east and south. We are using the Euro Model for analysis as this seems to have the best idea going forward.

Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead Euro Model Sunday Morning


Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead

Sunday’s outlook is a bit tricky because there will be dry air just to the north and it is possible that some of that dry air could build southward and keep things no worse than partly sunny at least at the beginning of the day. But by days end clouds will probably take over and begin to shift northward. I don’t think any rain will fall Sunday during the day except maybe in Southernmost New Jersey and Southeastern Pennsylvania. By Monday morning.

Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead Euro Model Monday Morning

euro72 Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead

What will probably happen is a low will form on the warm front to the south and enhance the ocean flow. We should see rain from this on Monday. In terms of amounts the rain will not be especially heavy. It looks we could see up to an inch or so of rain into Tuesday. The rain will probably not be continuous but when it is not raining steadily, there will be light rain or just drizzle around. Temperatures are likely not to get out of the 40s in most places through Tuesday.

Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead Euro Model Tuesday Morning

euro96 Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead Euro Model

Because there is a crashing North Atlantic Oscillation next week, the system will be slow to get out of the way. Rain will probably be lingering around for at least part of Tuesday before weather conditions begin to improve Tuesday night and Wednesday. Beyond Wednesday the upper air pattern takes a colder look to it as a vortex forms in Southeast Canada and the flow opens up from the northwest. Right now there are no serious storm threats down the road worth considering. At this stage of the calendar nothing short of perfect setup would bring about any kind of early spring snow threat. Even if all the long term indicators point to a colder pattern it doesn’t mean that the short term factors line up for a late season snow. However we can say that temperatures will trend below average later next week.

Joestradamus Sees Damp Chilly Weather Ahead Euro Model Upper Air Late Next Week


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