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JOESTRADAMUS Early Look Sunday Into Monday Snow Rain
Today’s model runs have brought some clarity to the situation with the last short wave trough moving into the East on Sunday and it is really very simple. All the models have some variation of this idea so they are on the same page. It really is now a very simple question. Is the European with its slightly stronger ridge in the East correct? If it is then you will get a wave developing on a stalling front. The cold air never reaches the coast and it will be mostly rain with snow north and west of the orange arrows.
The GFS/ICON/CANADIAN have a slightly flatter ridge, a slightly less defined trough and short wave and a flatter surface. Cold air here arrives in time as the precipitation moves in and it would snow for most areas north and west of the orange arrows and for all areas from from the interior Mid Atlantic and all of the Northeast. This I believe would be a 3-6/4-8″ event if the GFS is correct.
In the European models favor is that everything this winter has wanted to cut to the west so why should this be any different? For the other models, the European has been guilty of showing way too much amplitude with most of the weather systems this winter therefore maybe…just maybe..the flatter colder look works this time.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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