Tropical Forecast

  • Thunderstorms Later Today Warm Mostly Dry Friday Through Sunday


    Thunderstorms Later Today Warm Mostly Dry Friday Through Sunday

    Today is the day that a cold front will be moving across the area from west to east so we are setting up for thunderstorms later today. We will probably see a few scattered clusters develop into the early afternoon before widespread activity starts to take over later on into this evening. The Storm Prediction Center as of early this morning is keeping the risk areas mostly west of the coast but it is close enough that some isolated severe thunderstorms could develop especially inland.  

    SATELLITE

     

    REGIONAL RADAR

    storm free

    The cold front is moving into Western New York and Western Pennsylvania with a line of showers and thunderstorms moving eastward. Some renegade areas are showing up to the east across the Catskills and also in parts of Maryland. Nothing much happens until later so in the meantime it is very warm and humid today with some sunshine in the mix and highs in the 80s to near 90 degrees in some spots.

    LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY

    storm free

    LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA storm free

    Once thunderstorms end later this evening after the front passes weather conditions should improve somewhat overnight. Friday through the weekend will be mostly dry and very warm with up and down humidity. Clouds and some sun are forecast for Friday with an isolated shower or thunderstorm possible with highs mostly in the 80. As for the weekend another front arrives Saturday night but there won't be much to it. Look for some sunshine warm and somewhat humid conditions Saturday with highs in the 80s to near 90. It will likely be a little less humid on Sunday with sunshine and highs mostly in the 80s.

    POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO

    There hasn't been much change in the potential tropical cyclone in the Gulf of Mexico overnight. Latest satellite loops still show a rather elongated broad low pressure area from northwest to southeast but we should see this organize into a tropical depression or a tropical storm later today. Hurricane watches are posted for the Louisiana coast. The issue here is how much time will it spend over open waters and how far west will it get before making a more northward turn. This will either limit or extend development time over the Gulf and will determine how strong this gets before landfall.

    You can see how stretched out this system is and there are probably still multiple low centers in play.Once the the first visible satellites of the day are available the National Hurricane Center will likely make a decision regarding upgrading this to a Tropical Depression or to Tropical Storm Barry. We will take another look at this later today.

     

    MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

    Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.