Tropical Forecast

  • Hurricane Jerry Moving West Northwest Bermuda May See Second Hurricane In Less Than a Week


    Hurricane Jerry Moving West Northwest Bermuda May See Second Hurricane In Less Than a Week

    Satellite pictures this evening showed a burst of convection around the center of Jerry after looking rather ragged for much of Friday. The hurricane peaked in intensity early Friday morning at 105 mph before it weakened during the day. Now we see this burst of intensity but hostile winds in the upper atmosphere await to the northwest of Jerry and this could cause some weakening on Saturday. Some heavy rains have been occurring over parts of the Northern Leeward Islands but the impact on these islands has been minimal.

    TIGHT JERRY SATELLITE

    Jerry is forecast to track to the northwest over the weekend with the track gradually bending to the north. The strong upper air winds from the Bahamas to Bermuda will relax as an upper trough along the East Coast pulls away to the northeast. Conditions could become more favorable for strengthening again as Jerry turns to the north and then northeast on Monday. It is quite possible that Bermuda could be in line for another hurricane after seeing Humberto go by a few days ago with winds over 100 mph. Hurricane Jerry Moving West Northwest Bermuda May See Second Hurricane In Less Than a Week

    The latest hurricane tracking models are all tightly cluster and bring Jerry 60 miles either side of Bermuda as a category 1 hurricane. The waters here have been cooled by upwelling from Humberto just a few days ago and that will at least keep Jerry from strengthening much beyond a category 1 or at worst 2 hurricane.

    Wider Satellite Jerry

    storm free

    Elsewhere in the tropics disturbed weather on the wide satellite on the lower right corner is about 600 miles east of the Windward Islands and moving westward at about 15 to 20 mph. There has been an increase in thunderstorm activity though it remains disorganized. Conditions are somewhat favorable for development here as it moves toward the Windwards Saturday night and the National Hurricane Center is monitoring this. They may send an Air Force plane to investigate this if it shows signs of organizing on Saturday.

     

    MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS

    Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.