Joe’s Forecast

  • Flash Flooding Across Central NJ Heavy Downpours Elsewhere


    Flash Flooding Across Central NJ Heavy Downpours Elsewhere

    Flash Flooding Across Central NJ Heavy Downpours Elsewhere

    Flash Flooding Across Central NJ Heavy Downpours Elsewhere We have a stalled front across South Central New Jersey and right along the boundary is an east west band of very heavy rains and thunderstorms that have already created some flooding issues along and north of Route 195. Flood Watches are up for much of New Jersey this morning and we will see this rain spread northeastward across Long Island, Southeastern NY & the Hudson Valley later this morning into early aftenroon.

    REGIONAL RADAR

    storm free

    LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY

    storm free

    LOCAL RADAR PHILADELPHIA storm free

    Once the rain moves through it should start to taper off and end from west to east in the early afternoon with lots of clouds to follow and most highs in the 60s. South of the frontal boundary in South Jersey & Southeastern Pennsylvania there will be clouds with some breaks of sun with the risk for a downpour or a thunderstorm with highs in the upper 70s and lower 80s. Rainfall amounts could easlily exceed 2 to 3 inches in some places this morning that get under the heavy rain band. Flash Flooding Across Central NJ Heavy Downpours Elsewhere Monday looks rather quiet with lots of clouds around with an ocean wind and highs into the 70s. We should see some sunshine on Tuesday with dry air and highs in the 80s.

    TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR MOST OF THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA.

    ...ALBERTO PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS OVER SOUTHERN
    FLORIDA...
    ...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF
    FLORIDA...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...25.0N 84.2W
    ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WNW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
    ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
    
    A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued along the Gulf coast of
    Florida from Anclote River to Aucilla River.
    
    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
    
    A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
    * Crystal River to the Mississippi/Alabama border
    
    A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
    * Dry Tortugas
    * Bonita Beach to the Mississippi/Alabama border
    
    A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
    * Mississippi/Alabama border to the Mouth of the Pearl River
    
    A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
    threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
    coastline, in the indicated locations in this case during the next
    36 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov.
    
    A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
    expected somewhere within the warning area.
    
    A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
    possible somewhere within the watch area, in this case within the
    next 36 hours.
    
    For storm information specific to your area in the United
    States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
    monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
    forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
    the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
    meteorological service.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto
    was located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 84.2 West.  The
    storm is moving toward the north-northeast near 13 mph (20 km/h). A
    turn toward the north is expected later this morning, and a motion
    toward the north-northwest is forecast tonight through Monday
    night. On the forecast track, the center of Alberto will cross the
    eastern and northern Gulf of Mexico through Monday, and make
    landfall over the northern Gulf Coast in the warning area Monday
    afternoon or Monday night. Heavy rainfall and tropical storm
    conditions will likely reach the northern Gulf Coast well before the
    arrival of the center of Alberto.  Alberto is expected to move
    northward into the Tennessee Valley on Tuesday.
    
    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Gradual strengthening is forecast until the system reaches the
    northern Gulf Coast on Monday.  Steady weakening is expected
    after Alberto makes landfall, and it is forecast to become a
    tropical depression by Tuesday.
    
    Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km) mainly to
    the east of the center.  The NOAA automated station at Pulaski
    Shoals, Florida, recently reported sustained winds of 32 mph (52
    km/h) and a wind gust of 39 mph (63 km/h).
    
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
    
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL:  Alberto is expected to produce the following rain
    accumulations through Tuesday:
    
    Central Cuba...Additional 5 to 10 inches, isolated storm-totals of
    20 inches.
    
    The Florida panhandle into eastern Alabama and western Georgia...4
    to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches.
    
    The Florida Keys and south Florida...Additional 3 to 6 inches,
    isolated storm totals of 10 inches.
    
    Rest of the Florida peninsula...1 to 4 inches.
    
    Rest of the southeast U.S. from Tennessee to the Carolinas...2 to 6
    inches.
    
    Rains in Cuba could produce life-threatening flash floods and
    mudslides. Flooding and flash flooding are possible in the southeast
    United States, including Florida.
    
    WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the Dry Tortugas,
    and these conditions are expected to spread northward in the warning
    area along the west coast of Florida later today. Tropical storm
    conditions are expected within the warning area along the northern
    Gulf Coast by tonight. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the
    watch area along the northern Gulf Coast by Monday.
    
    STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
    normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
    moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the
    following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
    areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
    
    Crystal River to the Mississippi/Alabama border...2 to 4 ft
    
    The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-
    related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
    and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
    information specific to your area, please see products issued by
    your local National Weather Service forecast office.
    
    TORNADOES:  A few tornadoes are possible across the Florida
    peninsula today.
    
    SURF:  Swells generated by Alberto will continue to spread northward
    along the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through Monday.  These
    swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
    conditions. For more information, consult products from your local
    weather office.

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