Humberto Will Strengthen To A Hurricane Today Risk to Bermuda
Tropical Storm Humberto is sitting off the Florida east coast about 175 miles east of Cape Canaveral and continues to move northward away from the Bahamas. Top winds are 60 mph. Conditions are favorable for strengthening and Humberto is likely to become a hurricane later today or tonight. There is no threat to any land areas in the US and the biggest risk will be rip currents and rough seas that will impact the Southeast US coast & Florida for at least the next 3 or 4 days.
The forecast logic regarding Humberto has not changed. There is an upper trough that is moving off the New England coast today and this trough will strengthen south and east of New Foundland over the next 3 days. This trough will pull Humberto slowly northward today and then turn it to the east or east northeast on Monday. This pulls it away from the US mainland and toward Bermuda. Humberto will probably make a close pass to Bermuda midweek.
The upper trough that is southeast of Newfoundland does pull out to the northeast. There is an outside long shot chance that if the trough pulls out fast enough and Humberto lollygags off the southeast coast a little longer, that the trough might ultimately miss Humberto and leave it behind for perhaps another trough to pick it up down the road delaying its exit. Right now no model shows this other than one or two of the more unreliable ones that shall remain nameless.
The Atlantic Basin still remains rather busy with weak systems across the Tropical Atlantic. The disorganized clouds that are on the lower right of this satellite view is due to a tropical wave that is moving slowly westward. Conditions here are growing more favorable for development and a tropical depression is likely to develop sometime next week in this area.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.