Sunshine Hot Humid Chance Thunderstorms Overnight
Day two of the weekend will be the hotter and the more humid day. Like yesterday the satellite photo this morning shows cloud free conditions across much of the northeast. Three is an upper air disturbance swinging out fo the Great Lakes with clouds and some showers and thunderstorms that are moving into Westhern NY and Northwestern Pennsylvania. They will not be an issue during the day but they could be approaching the Catskills and parts of the Hudson Valley this evening. Highs will reach the upper 80s to lower 90s. Unless there is an isolated downpour or thunderstorm ( there were a couple that formed yesterday) once again 99 percent of you won’t see a thing.
The area of storms that will move across Upstate NY into Northern Pennsylvania wall fall apart tonight so unless there is a surviving cell (north of NYC), it will just be a warm and humid night with most lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s. This will lead to what should be the hottest day of this current stretch.
This weak upper trough that is moving through overnight will will turn the winds to westerly on Monday which is a heat wind. We will see sunshine and it will be a truly hot and humid day. Most highs will reach 90 to 95. There probably won’t be any thunderstorms around. Even the pop up types will have a tough time getting going on Monday.
Tuesday will be a hot humid day with sunshine. Highs will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s with a south southwest wind. As the cold front to the west approaches it will bend the wind to more southerly which knocks a few degrees off the highs. Then the front nears the coast Wednesday with the likelihood of showers and thunderstorms with highs in the 80s to near 90.
This summer has been a case of the northern part of the jet stream always remaining close by and buckling from time to time moving a little north or a little south. Nothing seems to be changing in this pattern going into the month of August with another such round of buckling. We have another trough dropping into the east for the middle of this coming week.
This trough is not a particularly strong one and will hang around in the East late this week. This will cause the Wednesday cold front to stall offshore which could create shower issues lingering into late week along with cooler temperatures. The issues for the week ahead will be whether thunderstorms Wednesday will be strong to severe and whether the stalling front keeps us in clouds and showers for Thursday and Friday.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.