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Heavy Rain Gusty Winds Slick Spots Make For Nasty Evening
Our storm system producing the nasty Sunday continues with heavy rains moving through some areas from time to time. Rainfall amounts in the last 24 hours have been in the 1 to 2 inch rain. Some areas to the south have been raining for the last 2 days so amounts down in the Middle Atlantic area (Maryland southward) have been double that in some areas. We have more rain to get through now that the upper low is nearing the coast and the surface low is beginning to organize. The visible satellite loop shows a better defined upper air circulation which is bringing in more rain and arcing it back northwestward.
Regional and local radars remain very active this afternoon and heavy rains are expanding across Northern New Jersey with another concentration of heavy rain in Southwest New Jersey and Southeastern Pennsylvania as of 3pm. Not much forward progress is being indicated at the moment so we are stuck with this into tonight.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
As for “cold” air we have seen in come in on strong gusty northeast gales and that has kept temperatures hovering near 40. Inland temperatures are in the 30s and while there are some spots in NW New Jersey & Northeastern Pennsylvania as well as some areas in the Hudson Valley under 32 (well northwest of the Hudson River). we do not see any widespread geographic areas below freezing. Weather models show cold air from dynamic cooling from the top down beginning after 4pm across Northern New Jersey to the Hudson Valley & Western Connecticut. The NAM models as well as the HRRR model all show this so if you are inland keep an eye outside. You may see some wet snow getting involved shortly. We will know soon enough if this is right.
All of this winds down overnight followed by a windy dry Monday with some sunshine and temperatures in the 30s to near 40. Tuesday and Wednesday look dry. Thursday we will see increasing clouds as the next storm comes out of the Southern Plains and heads toward the Saint Lawrence Valley. This is going to be a big rain producer along with strong southerly winds ahead of it and strong westerly winds behind it.
Next weekend looks dry and colder. Weather models are uncertain regarding Christmas Eve or Christmas Day. The European model oddly enough gives our area a shot at a White Christmas with a rather fast moving weather system running across the Central Appalachians and passing by to our south. It could be a light fast event that puts down a few inches for somebody on Christmas Eve…or not depending on how real it is or how cold it is. We have all week to watch for any possibilities that Santa might land with some snow on the ground.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.