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Snow Rain Ends Rainy Gloomy Weekend
Latest satellite and radar loops show that the patchy snow, (rain along the coast) is just about over with. We are seeing one last little patch in Northeastern Pennsylvania that is heading for parts of the Hudson Valley & maybe Northwest New Jersey for this evening and that should be it. Tonight should be cloudy though some breaks in the cloud cover should occur. Temperatures overnight for most of the area should stay above freezing though areas in Northwest New Jersey and in the Hudson Valley could drop to under 32. Standing moisture could create a few icy spots but they should be few and far between.
Latest radars show the patchy precipitation over Connecticut & Long Island moving to the east. It is mostly rain on the coast and light snow inland in Southern New England. The last small batch should come into range of the local radar soon enough and it should be gone by the time the evening commute winds down.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Friday brings the approaching next weather system We should see lots of clouds Friday. Some breaks in the cloud cover are possible which could impact temperatures. Highs will be in the upper 40s but if the sun should make an appearance or two, some lower 50s are possible. The wind off the ocean will develop and where it stays overcast, it will likely feel a bit on the raw side.
The problem with the weekend is the upper air jet stream poses a problem with the approaching low now coming out of the Southern Plains. The flow is split in two with a strong westerly jet stream in Southern Canada. This will prevent this low from moving northeastward but instead it tracks slowly to our south. This will bring rain Friday night into Saturday morning with the heaviest rain from NYC & Long Island southward. Saturday’s highs will be in the 40s. Then we have to wait for the system to clear the coastline and that might not happen until Monday. The northern jet will bring another cold high into New England Saturday night into Sunday which will build southward. This creates possible complications for Northwest New Jersey, Northeast Pennsylvania to parts of the Hudson Valley especially north of route 84. We could see ground temperatures in these areas drop from the 40s Saturday to near or slightly below freezing Sunday morning which could mean for some icing.
These situations are never easy. The cold air mass is shallow in nature so it is always tricky figuring out how far south the cold air gets. It will mean for more on and off rain on Sunday under a cloudy skies and temperatures in the raw 30s to lower 40s near the coast. That low will gradually strengthen as it moves away on Monday. We probably wil see the rain change over to snow in New England but it won’t make it to our area. Weather conditions next week look chilly with a couple of cold fronts bringing colder air from time to time but nothing extreme. Next work week looks storm free which then takes us to the weekend going into Christmas. We will be taking a closer look at this once we get all the afternoon long range models in and give them a good look.
MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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