COLD FRONT OFFSHORE SECOND FRONT ARRIVES WEDNESDAY
COOL WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES LONG RANGE
EVEN COLDER SHOT ARRIVES OVER THE WEEKEND
Last night’s cold front has moved offshore and it come through with some showers and even some wind last night. Now we are in a new air mass and we are looking ahead to sunshine today with some passing patchy clouds. Temperatures today will be in the 50s at best and there is a nice breeze reminding you that Autumn is here and that it is not going to be going away anytime soon. Radars are quiet for the most part and we don’t expect anything to show up nearby today or tonight.
Tonight should be clear and chilly with most lows in the 40s. We have a second cold front approaching so temperatures tonight won’t drop much. That second front doesn’t have much with it but it will have some clouds. Winds will pick up on Wednesday and we could briefly hit the low 60s before colder air takes over later in the day. I think we will see a mix of sun and clouds with maybe a rain shower risk well inland Wednesday afternoon and evening. This push of chilly air will take us down into the 30s and even 20s north and west of coastal areas and away from warmer urban centers. Look for frost advisories and freeze watches to go up for Thursday morning and likely again for Friday morning.
Friday we will see temperatures head back up into the 50s as another cold front begins its approach. We will see sunshine given way to arriving clouds. We will see some showers later Friday night into Saturday as the front moves through and passes offshore. This brings yet another shot of cold air and this cold shot will be the coldest of the recent series.
This shot of cold air sets us up for widespread frosts and freezes for the Northeast and interior Middle Atlantic States Sunday night into Monday morning of next week. Coastal areas and warmer urban centers will likely stay just above those levels but it will still be the coldest shot of air of the young season so far. It also opens up a bit of the late effect machine and the first snows will likely be seen for lake effect areas in Western Pennsylvania and Upstate NY as well as parts of Northern New England.
The pattern going forward does open up possibilities for storminess later in the long range period toward months end. A number of models are working around the idea of some sort of gale center along the East coast but of course here we are 10 or more days out with the usual degree of uncertainty. Certainly there are signals for some sort of coastal low but whether and how they come together or even if they come together remains to be seen.
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MANY THANKS TO TROPICAL TIDBITS FOR THE USE OF MAPS
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