Snow Chances Minimal System Weak
Snow Chances Minimal System Weak
Looking at everything this morning from satellite to radar to overnight weather models, this system that is going to effect this weekend remains weak and disorganized. While it some ways it is similar to the storm on Tuesday it is different in a few important aspects, most notably is the lack of a strong southern feature which limits moisture. As a result all the northern energy has to do all the work. Unless that energy is concentrated and strong, precipitation that develops becomes light and blotchy. This time of year intensity of precipitation is important. Some weather models through yesterday were bullish on this idea but it has turned out not to be the case.
We see on the satellite clouds with the brighter white higher cloud tops moving off the Middle Atlantic coast. Low pressure will be developing there and then arcing its way east, then northeast and then north. This probably means some occasional rain or wet snow and in colder areas a light accumulation on colder surfaces is possible. At most a coating to an inch is forecast unless we get some surprise precipitation development at the last minute. This threat continues tonight into Sunday morning before weather conditions improve and we see some sunshine later in the Sunday especially inland.
LOCAL RADAR NEW YORK CITY
Radars are showing some blotchy areas of rain and wet snow and some of it isn’t reaching the ground. None of it appears to be particularly impressive at the moment. The HRRR snow forecast map through 1am Sunday shows how unimpressive this all is.
It appears looking at the longer range that we should be quiet for the next 2 weeks. Odds of an accumulating snowfall going forward become longer and longer. This week we will start milder Monday into Tuesday with highs reaching the 50s. A cold front comes through on Tuesday with a shot of colder air for Wednesday and Thursday. Much of the week ahead looks dry.
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