Severe Weather Risk Expanded
Severe Weather Risk Expanded
The Storm Prediction Center of the National Weather Service has expanded the risk of Severe Weather to include all of Long Island and Southern New England for Wednesday which is not a surprise given the dynamics we are dealing with for Wednesday as a strong cold front moves east and record highs in the 70s will expand up the coast to Southeastern NY, Southern New England, and possibly Long Island. The marine layer which normally is a thunderstorm killer this time of year will be much more limited given the strong southwest flow that will develop across the Northeast on Wednesday. This coupled with a strong jet stream wind at higher levels will be much more supportive for thunderstorm development for coastal areas than it was on Saturday. Inland the support is extensive and a tornado outbreak is not impossible.
The Storm Prediction Center has also expanded and upgraded today’s risk in the western ares of the Ohio Valley to moderate from enhanced. Severe weather here will begin to break out later today and tonight.
In the meantime as the warm air begins its push eastward an area of heavy rain is breaking out across West Virginia and moving into Southern Pennsylvania. This area will move through tonight with a warm front and a thunderstorm or 2 is possible when the warm front passes.
At the moment we will not have any rains here for the rest of the afternoon. Rain will begin to move in around the time the evening commute comes to an end.
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