Colder Air Moving East
Colder Air Moving East
Yesterday’s record highs are but a memory now and we are going to be seeing a colder air mass building in that will take temperatures down close to average over the weekend. The satellite loop shows yesterday’s cold front offshore and now we watch as dry air comes in today. We should see a good amount of sunshine however a northerly wind will keep temperatures in the 40s and those temperatures will ease into the 30s by late afternoon and evening.
The radars will be inactive on Friday and Friday night. The front stalls to the south and a little wave develops on it. However the wave is weak and will only get so far north. The NAM model wants to push an areas of snow through from the afternoon into the early evening. The NAM brings the snow the furthest north of all the models however all the other keep much of the precipitation to the south. I am going to cover for the possibility for a little snow in northern areas and a bit more to the south in New Jersey south of Route 195 and in Southeastern Pennsylvania. At most we are talking about a coating to an inch or so, and in some places to the north barely a coating if anything at all. I’m making no changes in my snow forecast map from 2 days ago.
Sometimes these innocent looking systems can surprise in a few pockets here and there and there is always the chance of that happening. However that is a short range forecast problem for Saturday if it is a problem at all.
Sunday will be dry with some sun and clouds and highs in the 30s. The same will hold for Monday. Next week looks like we will be in a thaw pattern so there will be only rain threats later in the week. Longer range prospects to me look like this is going to change again beginning later next weekend. What it evolves into I’m not quite sure, however it seems that the pattern will turn blocky. Where the block sets up will be key to the weather going forward at the end of the month and into February.
For those of you who keep saying that winter is over or that winter hasn’t even arrived let me just point out that your expectations are a bit far fetched. We are having an average albeit volatile winter and we area actually a little bit above normal with snowfall given where we are in the Canada. If you think that the winter is over let me remind you that in 2014-15 the winter never really got started until late in the month of January. In 2013 snowfall was minimal until the “Snowmaggedon” Storm in early February.
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