Tropical Depression Forming Florida?
Tropical Depression Forming Florida?
Judging from the satellite and radar loops this afternoon and evening something is going on in Northeastern Florida. Disturbed weather a few days ago north of the Leeward Islands found its way to the east coast of Florida. Thunderstorms blossomed this afternoon and it appears that a circulation around low pressure has formed.
Based on the latest surface observations there appears to be some sort of low pressure center just inland of the coast. Winds along the coast are gusting to over 30 mph. However with the center just inland, development will be limited if at all. Now should the center emerge over the coastal waters we could see some development. It is not unusual to see tropical depressions or even tropical storms form right along the immediate coast of Florida and the Gulf of Mexico.
The wind field certainly supports a weak circulation and that northwest wind barb near Putnam pretty much cinches it. Again it would need to move offshore for further development though gusty winds and heavy rains will continue
Most of the convection on the radar is offshore. We don’t see any turning on the radar echos that would suggest that this system is getting better organized.
Either way, this system would not have any impact on our weather here in the Northeast or Middle Atlantic states. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center.
1. Surface observations, satellite images, and radar data indicate that an area of low pressure is located just inland near St. Augustine, Florida. This system continues to produce a large area of showers and thunderstorms, with winds to tropical storm force along and just offshore of portions of the northeast Florida coast. This system has been maintaining its organization through the afternoon and early evening, and advisories will likely be initiated later this evening. The low is expected to move north-northwestward to northward at 10 to 15 mph tonight, near and parallel to the northeast coast of Florida. Strong gusty winds, some to tropical storm force, will continue over portions of the northeast Florida coast tonight, and heavy rains will continue to spread over central and northern Florida tonight and Wednesday. Some areas from northeast Florida to South Carolina could receive 3 to 6 inches of rainfall with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Please consult your local National Weather Service office for additional information on this system, including possible warnings. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent
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