Storm Surge Forecast Hermine
Storm Surge Forecast Hermine
Tropical Storm Warning Coastal New Jersey
Tropical Storm Watch NE New Jersey, Long Island,
Southern Westchester, Coastal Connecticut
At least with respect to current weather conditions we are seeing high clouds coming up from the south in advance of Tropical Storm Hermine which is moving right along just inland of the coast in Northeast South Carolina. Tropical Storm Hermine will be moving off the North Carolina Coast Saturday morning and from there northeastward and slowing down to a crawl. It should begin to strengthen again. Models and the National Hurricane are forecasting this to become a strong tropical storm or some sort of hybrid semi post tropical hurricane. We can say at least that there are no weather worries tonight or for the daytime on Saturday, though rain could get close to Southern New Jersey late in the afternoon. Temperatures tonight will be in the pleasant 60s and even 50s in cool spots north and northwest of warmer urban areas and highs Saturday will be in the low to mid 70s depending on how thick the clouds get.
On the regional radar you can see the leading edge of the rains moving into Southern Virginia and there is a lot of rain in North Carolina. All of this is moving north northeast at about 15 mph or so.
With regards to the storm surge forecast it is based on an offshore National Hurricane Center track. However if the European model track proves true where the center hooks northwest to near Delaware Bay, these surges will be higher than currently forecast. Right now surges for the Sunday night high tide are 3 to 5 feet with 5 to 7 feet possible in Western Long Island Sound. Again if the European is right the surge will be higher. These figures do not include waves but do include the height of the tide.
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