Weekend Outlook More Rain
Weekend Outlook More Rain
First off what an absolute disappointment the rainfall totals were last night and this morning. Every model had forecast at least 1 to 3 inch rainfall and some were even more aggressive than that. We at least stayed in that 1 to 2 inch rain in our outlook and even that was too high! This is what happens when you are in a drought pattern. It is as if the atmosphere just refuses to rain. Even when conditions look ideal it finds a way to fall apart. Most rainfall amounts that I saw were between three quarters of an inch and a little over an inch. Better than nothing but double that would have been nice.
Now we are on to the weekend and we can see more clouds to the west on the satellite loop. Another upper air disturbance will be in play and this threatens to bring some rain or downpours beginning late Saturday and lasting on and off into Monday. Again I will be cautious with this because everything has a tendency to fall apart. There will be dry periods through the weekend and I think the weather should be dry from tonight into early Saturday afternoon. Temperatures overnight will be in the upper 60s to lower 70s and Saturday’s highs will reach into the 80s.
GFS RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH 2PM SUNDAY
For what it’s worth the GFS 24 rainfall map above shows rain from 2pm Saturday through 2pm Sunday. Amounts are robust but I would probably want to cut them in half. There will be a threat for downpours beginning late Saturday afternoon and evening and continuing on an off into Monday so look for variability from place to place. The last weekend of July and summer is now 2/3 done.
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