Noreaster Moves Fast, Long Range Joestradamus
Take a look at the latest satellite loop and you can see that the system coming out of the Gulf of Mexico is looking rather impressive here given that twist we see. In fact models overnight have suddenly gone back to a more intense solution with regards to the surface low as it moves by. This is the frustration of the run to run shifts and dealing with them. This is going to all happen very fast and it will all be coming to an end early tomorrow morning across much of the area. There will be a brief but intense burst of heavy rain and strong winds. I would not be at all surprise to see some local gusts over 50 mph for a brief time in some intense convection that will develop. But it is basically a 6 to 8 hour event and then done as the storm moves away to the northeast.
Noreaster Moves Fast
Take a look at the signature on the radar loop and you can see how the echos twist around. We call that a comma head and if the comma head comes over you, it can be very intense for a brief period of time. I still believe that it will not be cold enough for anything other than rain. It is hard to imagine that you can have something this intense taking an ideal snowstorm track and get nothing but there are two issues. One is no cold air of consequence and the other is the primary low to the north which does not die out fast enough to allow cold air in the midwest to get involved.
Noreaster moves fast
Here is my video analysis of this event and the long range. The blocking pattern is going to break down but given it didn’t really do much for you, it might be a good thing.
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