Storm Signals Continue As Weather Pattern Realigns
This has got to be the most painful weather pattern change process I can remember and I go back a long time folks. It has really become a very long grinding process and it going to continue to be a long grinding process until we get to where ever we wind up. I have said this many times before that just because the pattern changes doesn’t mean it changes to something you like. Remember that if this winds up going somewhere that leaves you unsatisfied and unhappy. That being said the GFS model is still giving storm signals for the end of next week as it develops a coastal low and takes it north northeast just off shore and then just as it gets to about 35 north it swings it out to the east. This actually is not inconsistent with today’s European run which did the same thing pretty much with the lead system. The second system heads to the midwest and falls apart while another low eventually develops near the coast a few days later. All of this seems to be going on while long term indexes like the North Atlantic Oscillation, East Pacific Oscillation and the important Arctic Oscillation all go negative. These signals point to colder weather in the east. Frankly the whole flavor of tonight’s weather model run is bizarre in many respects and it is something that I have not seen to often. I back to mid month last year when the pattern was going through its second change and that one in hindsight was very easy to see and it evolved in a pretty straight forward way. This year on the other hand is at times beyond description. This probably has to do with the extreme nature of the weather conditions given the El Nino and the polar vortex. All that said we try to make sense of it all. It is not easy!
Meanwhile at the top of the atmosphere, the polar vortex is stretched about as far as you can stretch it without splitting it.
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