Turkey Day Weather Forecast Looking Good..The Week Ahead!
Turkey on Thanksgiving with sausage stuffing and everything else that goes with it makes for a great family holiday. We don’t want weather to get in the way. Thinking back to last year we had a snowstorm in parts of the Northeast going into Thanksgiving making for huge travel headaches. We have no such issue this year. The biggest change is actually coming tonight with a cold front offshore and clearing skies. Colder temperatures are arriving and by morning many areas including near the coast will be in the 20s. Load up on firewood!!!
Monday looks good with sunshine but temperatures are going to have a tough time with highs just in the low to mid 40s at best and then another cold night for Monday night with Tuesday morning lows repeating the Monday morning lows. One thing about Monday is that it will be rather breezy with winds from the northwest at 15 to 25 mph with some higher gusts so it will make the 40s feel like it is closer to 30.
Tuesday afternoon we should see temperatures moderate to the middle and upper 40s. Tuesday night will be a clear sky light wind kind of night so that could send temperatures down again but we should see some recovery Wednesday with some sunshine and highs back into the 50s. Thanksgiving day looks decent with clouds and some sun and highs in the 50s to near 60.
If you are travelling anywhere on Wednesday the forecast map for Wednesday evening is up and you can see that the weather over much of the country east of the Rockies is fine. From the Rockies west there are going to be snow issues as a very cold air mass drops out of Canada and combines with low pressure developing in Western Colorado so snow is likely for the northern Rockies and then moving into the Northern Plains on Thursday. For Thanksgiving ski holidays, the west will be best with lots of snow forecast.
Now here is a quick look at the longer range and I will be doing a deeper long range post later this evening. All three weather forecasting models show some sort of storm for the east early next week (first week of December) but there are a lot of differences in terms of timing, speed, and where the cold air is. However all three models do show a dynamic system aloft so we will have to watch to see how this evolves over the next few days.
The Gfs model is fastest, the Canadian is slowest, and the European is somewhere in between. Also there are differences in how the models handle the northern part of the jet stream in the split flow. Im going to attempt to make sense of this (as much as you can do 10 days out).