We have a weakening cold front coming through tonight and Sunday morning. No rain is forecast until late tonight. The front that is approaching is going to fall apart. It wasn’t that strong to begin with but a few showers will survive the trip over the mountians and the could make the ground wet a little bit tomorrow morning. Most amounts are a tenth of an inch or less.
Once the front passes dry air should take over and clouds will give way to some sunshine Sunday afternoon. The cooler air won’t arrive until Sunday night so highs Sunday should reach into the 60s everywhere and then cool off Sunday night into Monday morning.
Monday looks like a good day with sunshine though it will be cool with highs in the 50s. Tuesday it is a little tricky with the high going out to the northeast. An east wind will probably bring in some clouds as well as the storm system heading northward up the Mississippi Valley. Rain looks to hold off until Wednesday but clouds will definitely be increasing Tuesday with highs again just in the 50s.
The front that will be sweeping up from the southwest on this gfs weather model run does seem to want to develop some solid precip over us. Rather than focus on that specific I still think that we are in line for a pretty solid period of rain that will be heavy at times on Wednesday into Wednesday night and that should produce a generous 1 to 2 inches over much of the area.
I am going to assume that the moisture is not enhanced by whatever remnants there are of Hurricane Patricia as they are likely to be more concentrated around the developing low center. But the front it self plus the strong southeast flow off the warm ocean should provide a good solid base of moisture to work with.
The GFS model still has a solid 1 to 2 inches and it actually expands it a little further south on this run than the previous several runs. Notice the big rains in Coastal Texas as they have been bombed with 12 inch plus rains already and the rain is still coming down. We should dry out after Wednesday night and see a couple of chilly days at the end of the week.
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