Minimal Tropical Storm Henri is now beginning its move to the north and will eventually turn northeast. No important strengthening is forecast. It might increase a little bit in strength today but in the end it will be gone in a day or 2 as it becomes absorbed by a strong North Atlantic storm.
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.2N 60.3W ABOUT 370 MI...600 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 815 MI...1310 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
The tropical Atlantic is looking fairly busy this morning as we have 3 disturbances running around. The first is the remnants of Tropical Storm Grace which is passing over the northern Leeward Islands. Two things are happening here. First it looks like thunderstorms are getting enhanced a bit as it interacts with an upper trough. The second thing that is obvious is that strong winds aloft continue to produce shearing and unfavorable conditions for development. It will continue to move westward over the next few days. We also have disturbed weather off the African coast which looks like it has a circulation but not a whole lot of thunderstorms with it. Conditions are favorable for some development over the next day or 2. There is also a system south of the Azores that is sitting there. Sometimes those things could pop but that would just be something that gets a name out of the way. The shear pattern across the Atlantic remains hostile just about everywhere except for a few pockets. With regards to the system coming off Africa right now, it will have much the same conditions as Danny, Erika, Fred, and Grace. Too much shear means after some intial development it becomes ripped apart over time. Not much has changed in the tropical Atlantic for many weeks. Nor are there any indications that this will change anytime soon.